Make money with Apple. Longest decline since 2020!

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Make money on the longest decline of Apple shares since July 2020!

Apple arises emotions among its customers, supporters, and haters with its products as well as at the stock markets. Currently, we are witnessing something unprecedented. A few days ago, the prices of Apple shares declined for five trading days in a row, the longest streak since July 2020. What is the cause and what we can expect from Apple shares right now?

Apple shares almost constantly growing

Except for four short intervals, the long-term growth of Apple shares has been continuing almost constantly since issued in 1980. Growth has been a typical phenomenon over the entire new era of the Cupertino-based giant. Since 2007 (the cost of a share was circa $ 17) with the introduction of the first iPhone by Steve Jobs, Apple has enjoyed a huge success with stock markets mirroring the crowds of happy customers.

The growth of Apple shares was too fast and the shares became so expensive that in 2020 Apple had to dilute the shares diving a share into seven. This move was seen by investors as a next signal that the price of Apple shares was bound to further grow. The trend continued for about 6 months.

Having in mind that nothing lasts forever, in June 2020 the price started to plummet from the peak ($130) which continued for about the whole next year till May 2020. The price hit the support line and bounced back up to its current historical peak of $ 142 per share.

Chart showing the price of Apple shares over the recent 10 years.

Current price reaching historical high!!

A few day ago (exactly on 4 April) the price reached its historical high. Since then it has been declining (It might have reached its high again to go down for some time, same as we have seen twice in the last year?)

Last week the price suffered a steep fall for five days in a row. Last time, we saw such a phenomenon in July 2020, so it is nothing that frequent. On the other hand, the decline of shares over the five business days was mere 3 dollars – so, nothing to write home about. In late 2020 (on 9 November 2020), Apple shares made such a fall over a single day, nevertheless, the loss was made up for in the next week.

Can I make money on retracement or change of trend?

To see so many daily negative candlesticks in Apple shares in a row is unusual indeed. Since trading is largely based on history and likelihood this should not be underestimated. The upward trend, currently underway with Apple, could offer a good opportunity to follow the trend, i.e. involving a minor retracement.

Fundamental analyses support the retracement, too. For example, UBS has increased the estimated profit from Apple shares in the fiscal year 2020 from the initial $10.25 to $10.55 and the average price of iPhone sales from $667 to $692. Recently, we have seen some more interesting purchases of Apple for example Workflow, or demand for Imagination Tech. It is apparent that Apple has the right appetite and trust. This can be demonstrated by a massive order of OLED screens from Samsung for the new iPhones.

On the other hand, the situation should be seen rationally. Admitting that Apple is much about emotion, the question is how much rational thinking makes sense with Apple shares. To find a company so much exposed to emotion is not easy. Perhaps Tesla (How to make money with tesla) but then a large gap before the chasing pack. This should be taken into account. Trading with Apple or Tesla shares should be viewed from the psychological point of view.

Apple decided not to update its MacBook Air and, instead, to replace it by a more expensive, a 12inch model. Also, the new MacBooks are much more expensive than the previous generations. Apple clearly demonstrates its will to target professionals. What about large masses of consumers, students, and ordinary users? These customers see the MacBook Air as the most popular model. Other facts should not be ignored, either, for example, the body of iPhone is too large compared with the screen. Also in terms of hardware, iPhone products are lagging behind those made by the competitors. Looking at Apple Watch, the angular design does not appeal too much. Similarly, the market with Apple tablets has made minimal progress. With all the facts the question may be “Haven’t we already reached the apex?” “Don’t users of Apple devices generating sales keep sticking to the brand just because they are used to it? “Aren’t Apple’s hey days already over?”

What can we expect from the prices of Apple shares?

In the previous chapter, we admitted both retracement and trend reversal. Thanks to emotion, the development of Apple shares is very difficult to predict. You may make analyses, know each detail about the product sporting a “bitten apple” in its logo but emotions will get you anyway. To end up saying that we can expect anything is, at first sight, useless even though this can be made use of, too.

Will the price continue declining to the hypothetical support line as was the case in the most recent major downtrend?

How to trade Apple shares

From the available sources, we know that Apple shares are about to make some move. The current moderate decline will not last for long. What must come next is trend reversal i.e. either a significant decrease or return to an upward trend followed by increase There are two strategies:

Either you can for long wait for the confirmation of a new trend, or already start short-time trading of binary options. Binary options involve more efficient risk management fitting precisely Apple shares. Obviously, when trading binary options you may enter call/put to speculate both for growth or decline..

All you must do is to enter a CALL trade (when expecting that the price of Apple shares grows in the few next minutes). If not, you should enter PUT. Make this test right now below on this page.

Given the emotions factor, when trading Apple shares are cautious more than usual. On the other hand, you do not have to avoid these shares. Knowing that emotions raise volatility, you can use this to your own benefit in the trading of binary options.

Key points (recapitulation)

  • Apple shares are experiencing a long-term upward trend
  • Right now, the daily graph (chart) shows the biggest number of negative candlesticks since November 2020
  • Emotion is a key factor in trading Apple shares, more important than other factors
  • Higher volatility and worse predictability play in favor of trading binary options.

How does trading work? Take a test!

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The above text is not an analysis of investment opportunities or recommendations. The text does not comply with Act no. 256/2004 Coll. (ref. Capital Markets Undertaking Act) regulating rules for the analysing of investment opportunities or recommendations.

Author

More about the author Step

I’ve wanted to build a business of some kind and earn money since I was in middle school. I wasn’t very successful though until my senior year in highschool, when I finally started to think about doing online business. Nowadays I profitably trade binary options full-time and thus gladly share my experiences with you. More posts by this author

7 U.S. Stocks to Buy on Coronavirus Weakness

The coronavirus outbreak is a short-term problem, and these are stocks are long-term winners

[Editor’s note: “7 U.S. Stocks to Buy on Coronavirus Weakness” is regularly updated to included the latest analysis of the rapidly evolving coronavirus situation and which stocks to buy.]

The outbreak of Covid-19, a novel coronavirus strain which originated in China but has since gone global, is a big deal. To date, it has infected over 1 million people across the globe, killed at least 50,000, kept billions of people in their homes, brought the global economy to a screeching halt, and caused U.S. stocks to fall off a cliff.

But, not all is hope lost, and now may be the time to actually look for U.S. stocks to buy on the dip. For a few reasons.

First, according to my modeling, the coronavirus pandemic has peaked in certain Asian countries, is peaking in certain European countries, and will peak within the next two weeks in the U.S. Thereafter, spread of the virus globally should slow, before being completely stomped out in May or June.

Second, the U.S. economy has ample firepower from tons of fiscal and monetary stimulus to rebound, albeit gradually, in the summer once the virus is under control.

Third, U.S. stocks are pretty cheap right now, with many top-quality stocks trading at their lowest valuations in years, if not decades.

So, as opposed to running away from stocks during this scary time, I’m running towards them, building a portfolio of long-term winning assets at heavily discounted prices.

Americans are becoming less happy, and there’s research to prove it

Life in America keeps getting more miserable, according to the latest data from the General Social Survey, one of the longest-running and most highly regarded public opinion research projects in the nation.

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On a scale of 1 to 3, where 1 represents “not too happy” and 3 means “very happy,” Americans on average give themselves a 2.18 — just a hair above “pretty happy.” That’s a significant decline from the nation’s peak happiness, as measured by the survey, of the early 1990s.

The change is driven by the number of people who say they’re not too happy: 13% in 2020 compared with 8% in 1990. That’s a more than 50% increase in unhappy people.

Other recent research confirms this trend. The latest World Happiness Report, released this week, finds that a separate measure of overall life satisfaction fell by 6% in the United States between 2007 and 2020.

“Even as the United States economy improved after the end of the Great Recession in 2009,” that report noted, “happiness among adults did not rebound to the higher levels of the 1990s, continuing a slow decline ongoing since at least 2000.”

Economists have become more interested in happiness in recent years, partly because of the growing realization that traditional economic measures — such as unemployment or gross domestic product — are incapable of fully capturing the state of human welfare.

Happiness research is “a useful antidote to the tendency of economists to focus exclusively on material determinants of social welfare,” as then-Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke put it in a commencement address in 2020. “GDP is not itself the final objective of policy.”

There are many determinants of happiness in the United States. This year’s World Happiness Report, for instance, focuses on the role of digital media, noting that many of the activities correlated with unhappiness among young Americans — spending time on the internet, listening to music alone, using social media — typically happen on a computer or cellphone.

That study also cites the opioid epidemic, and the poor state of American health in general, as both drivers and symptoms of American unhappiness.

Breaking out General Social Survey data among different demographic groups also offers some clues about the changing nature of American happiness.

Republicans, for instance, have maintained a consistent happiness edge over Democrats since the 1970s. The two trend lines generally move in tandem and don’t appear to show much response to changes in the occupancy of the White House.

One potential explanation is Republicans’ greater religiosity, which other research has linked to happiness and life satisfaction.

Similarly, the data show that white Americans are usually happier than black Americans, although that gap has narrowed in recent years.

The differences could hinge on their economic situations — white families, on average, make more money and are much wealthier than black ones, and research shows that money does indeed buy happiness. The financial differences are largely attributed to the discrimination black families face, and inequity has a direct effect on the well-being of black Americans.

The urban-rural happiness gradient also is shrinking. In the 1970s, the residents of rural areas were about 10% happier in absolute terms than their big-city counterparts. But the two groups are very close now, and some researchers suspect that the strong preference for urban life among millennials is a factor.

Looking at responses by self-reported economic class offers a complicated picture of happiness.

Americans identifying as lower or middle class report a modest decline in happiness since the 1990s. But the picture is drastically different among the upper class, for whom happiness plateaued in the 1990s, dropped steeply around 2008, and has been rising steadily ever since.

One of the largest drivers of happiness in the General Social Survey is health. As of 2020, the happiness gap between those who say their health is “poor” and those who say it’s “good” or “excellent” is about one-quarter of the entire scale in absolute terms. Rendered on a happiness scale from 0 to 100, for instance, the least healthy would rate their well-being at about a 38, while the healthiest would be somewhere near 65.

Perhaps more concerning than the absolute gap between the two is the fact that it has grown over the years, fueled chiefly by a decline in happiness among those who say their health is poor. This suggests that illness in America is becoming more difficult to deal with and exerting a greater toll on the well-being of patients. The potential culprits here are numerous: Soaring medical expenses probably play a role, as do the frustrations of dealing with private insurance companies that have a great deal of power in determining which treatments get covered and paid for.

This last finding echoes data presented in the World Happiness Report: Our current state of national well-being is tied, in large part, to various public health challenges.

The most daunting indicator in this regard may be the ongoing decline in life expectancy. The United States is in the midst of the longest ongoing decline in average life expectancy since World War I, fueled in large part by rising rates of suicide and fatal drug overdoses. This despite the fact that the nation is also in one of the longest economic expansions in its history.

The declining life expectancy and happiness numbers suggest that the fruits of that expansion are not being distributed equally among the Americans who are making it happen.

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